WN 3081 · BWI → ATL

departs 1:57 PM ET · arrives 3:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3081 · BWI → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?