Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3088
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3088 · SNA → PHX
departs 6:30 PM PT · arrives 7:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 44%
Sat 10/3 4%
Mon 10/5 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from SNA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.