Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3089
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3089 · OGG → OAK
departs 10:00 AM HT · arrives 5:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 9%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at OAK that day
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.