Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3098 · OGG → HNL
departs 7:00 PM HT · arrives 7:45 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at HNL that day
↑
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
↓
OGG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.