WN 3108 · MSY → DEN

departs 5:26 PM CT · arrives 7:12 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from MSY are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.24 in

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3108 · MSY → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?