Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3129
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3129 · PHX → OMA
departs 12:15 PM MT · arrives 4:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at OMA that day
↑
12pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.