WN 3150 · BWI → BHM

departs 5:01 PM ET · arrives 6:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3150 · BWI → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?