WN 3185 · HRL → HOU

departs 5:31 AM CT · arrives 6:51 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HRL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from HRL are usually not late

Weather at each end

HRL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

HOU (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3185 · HRL → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?