Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3203
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
WN 3203 · PDX → MDW
departs 11:30 PM PT · arrives 5:20 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 19%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.