WN 3225 · OKC → AUS

departs 11:11 AM CT · arrives 12:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±2 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
22%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ AUS is prone to delays

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.63 in

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility8 mi Precip3.95 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3225 · OKC → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?