Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3254 · PHX → DAL
departs 7:10 AM MT · arrives 11:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3 5%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −22 pts in 24h
−22 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.