Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3256
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3256 · PHX → DAL
departs 1:25 PM MT · arrives 5:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 16%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.