Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3271
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 3271 · IND → MCO
departs 4:10 PM ET · arrives 6:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.