WN 3288 · SFO → AUS

departs 10:32 AM PT · arrives 4:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3288 · SFO → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?