WN 3298 · DAL → TUS

departs 10:53 AM CT · arrives 11:20 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TUS?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
33%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

TUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3298 · DAL → TUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUS?