Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 329
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 329 · AUS → LAS
departs 5:55 PM CT · arrives 6:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Wed 9/30 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 32%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.94 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.