Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3304
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3304 · HOU → PHX
departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 3:05 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 41%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.