WN 331 · TUL → AUS

departs 10:56 AM CT · arrives 12:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,033 ft, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↓ 10am departures from TUL are usually not late

↓ TUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.64 in

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 331 · TUL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?