WN 3321 · SJC → BOI

departs 1:26 PM PT · arrives 4:17 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOI?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ 1pm departures from SJC are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SJC that day

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BOI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3321 · SJC → BOI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOI?