WN 3332 · MCI → PHX

departs 1:14 PM CT · arrives 2:06 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.83 in

PHX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3332 · MCI → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?