WN 3355 · PHX → BNA

departs 5:27 AM MT · arrives 10:45 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from PHX are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3355 · PHX → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?