WN 3357 · STL → MDW

departs 6:11 PM CT · arrives 7:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,367 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 967 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

↓ MDW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,420 ft Visibility4.4 mi Precip0.12 in

MDW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3357 · STL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?