WN 3378 · MCO → SJU

departs 1:56 PM ET · arrives 4:59 PM AT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3378 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?