WN 3397 · PHX → HOU

departs 7:46 AM MT · arrives 12:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3397 · PHX → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?