WN 356 · AUS → LAX

departs 12:56 PM CT · arrives 2:15 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
36%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,033 ft, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip1.25 in

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 356 · AUS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?