WN 3583 · LGB → RNO

departs 10:26 AM PT · arrives 12:00 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RNO?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGB is prone to delays

↑ RNO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

↓ 10am departures from LGB are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

RNO (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3583 · LGB → RNO

Odds over time

How late will it get to RNO?