WN 3597 · ROC → MDW

departs 8:01 AM ET · arrives 8:57 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ ROC is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 8am departures from ROC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

MDW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3597 · ROC → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?