WN 359 · MCO → SAT

departs 1:53 PM ET · arrives 3:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 1pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SAT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

SAT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip2.75 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 359 · MCO → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?