WN 3601 · MCI → MSY

departs 5:51 PM CT · arrives 7:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 5pm departures from MCI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.32 in

MSY (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3601 · MCI → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?