Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3613
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
WN 3613 · SEA → BWI
departs 9:25 PM PT · arrives 5:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 35%
Sat 10/3 23%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
53%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.