WN 3622 · SAN → AUS

departs 1:26 PM PT · arrives 6:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at SAN that day

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip2.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3622 · SAN → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?