WN 3663 · OAK → LIH

departs 8:31 AM PT · arrives 11:11 AM HT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LIH?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1.46429 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ LIH is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ 8am departures from OAK are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

LIH (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3663 · OAK → LIH

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIH?