Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3714
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3714 · SJC → SNA
departs 6:30 PM PT · arrives 7:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SNA at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SNA that day
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SJC that day
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.