WN 3731 · TPA → CMH

departs 2:41 PM ET · arrives 5:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 2pm departures from TPA are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.26 in

CMH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3731 · TPA → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?