WN 3786 · SJC → SEA

departs 6:06 AM PT · arrives 8:17 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ SJC is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SJC are usually not late

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3786 · SJC → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?