WN 3829 · SJC → PDX

departs 6:16 AM PT · arrives 8:11 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
98%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3829 · SJC → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?