Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3882
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 3882 · STL → ATL
departs 4:25 PM CT · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 27%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at STL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from STL are often late
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
STL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 1,000 ft
Visibility 8.66667 mi
Precip 0.33 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.