WN 3889 · BWI → SLC

departs 11:46 AM ET · arrives 2:19 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3889 · BWI → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?