WN 3890 · DEN → GRR

departs 10:41 AM MT · arrives 3:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3890 · DEN → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?