Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 4076 · DAL → BUR
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
38%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 65% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
38%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 3.06 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.