WN 408 · FLL → TPA

departs 9:21 AM ET · arrives 10:32 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.2 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ TPA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.17 in

TPA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 408 · FLL → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?