WN 40 · DAL → LGA

departs 5:51 PM CT · arrives 10:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 3.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 5pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

LGA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 40 · DAL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?