Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4213
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4213 · BUR → DEN
departs 1:20 PM PT · arrives 4:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 22%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from BUR are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.