Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4253
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 4253 · HOU → FLL
departs 1:25 PM CT · arrives 4:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 33%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
74%
chance · ±3 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
74%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 73% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
74%
Yes 74%
No 26%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 59% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.72 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.