Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 426
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 426 · CMH → FLL
departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 8:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 10%
Mon 10/5 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from CMH are usually not late
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 1.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.