Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4271 SCHEDULED
Yesterday

WN 4271 · SAN → SMF

departs 4:02 PM PT · arrives 5:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands Now

How late will it get to SMF?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.