WN 431 · LGA → HOU

departs 6:01 AM ET · arrives 8:29 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 431 · LGA → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?