WN 4379 · BHM → HOU

departs 11:01 AM CT · arrives 12:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
22%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ BHM is prone to delays

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

↓ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BHM (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4379 · BHM → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?