Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4410
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4410 · DAL → PHX
departs 8:50 AM CT · arrives 9:20 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 6%
Mon 10/5 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.54 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.