Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4455
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 4455 · MCI → DAL
departs 9:25 PM CT · arrives 10:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 51%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
88%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
88%
Leave 15+ late
80%
Arrive 1h+ late
56%
Cancelled
15%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
88%
Yes 88%
No 12%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
80%
Yes 80%
No 20%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +30 pts in 24h
+30 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
10%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
18%
Cancelled
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.64 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.